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Subject : model evaluation/performance

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Academic Journal

Forecasting U.S. Tornado Outbreak Activity and Associated Environments in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS).

Authors : Malloy, Kelsey¹ (AUTHOR) ; Tippett, Michael K.¹ (AUTHOR)

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Apr2025, Vol. 40 Issue 4, p593-608. 16p.

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Academic Journal

Toward Unifying Short-Term and Next-Day Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Systems with a Continuously Cycling 3-km Ensemble Kalman Filter over the Entire Conterminous United States.

Authors : SCHWARTZ, CRAIG S.¹ ; ROMINE, GLEN S.¹; DOWELL, DAVID C.²

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Apr2021, Vol. 36 Issue 2, p379-405. 27p.

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Academic Journal

Comparing Partial and Continuously Cycling Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation Systems for Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Initialization.

Authors : Schwartz, Craig S.^1,2 (AUTHOR) ; Poterjoy, Jonathan² (AUTHOR); Carley, Jacob R.³ (AUTHOR)

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Jan2022, Vol. 37 Issue 1, p85-112. 28p.

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Academic Journal

Predictability of the Performance of an Ensemble Forecast System: Predictability of the Space of Uncertainties.

Authors : Satterfield, Elizabeth¹ ; Szunyogh, Istvan¹

Source: Monthly Weather Review. Mar2010, Vol. 138 Issue 3, p962-981. 20p. 9 Graphs, 5 Maps.

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Academic Journal

Evaluation and Process-Oriented Diagnosis of the GEFSv12 Reforecasts.

Authors : Ye, Jiacheng¹ (AUTHOR); Wang, Zhuo¹ (AUTHOR) ; Yang, Fanglin² (AUTHOR)

Source: Journal of Climate. Jun2023, Vol. 36 Issue 12, p4255-4274. 20p. 2 Charts, 12 Graphs.

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Academic Journal

Subseasonal Forecast Skill of Evaporative Demand, Soil Moisture, and Flash Drought Onset from Two Dynamic Models over the Contiguous United States.

Authors : Lesinger, Kyle¹ (AUTHOR); Tian, Di¹ (AUTHOR) ; Wang, Hailan² (AUTHOR)

Source: Journal of Hydrometeorology. Jul2024, Vol. 25 Issue 7, p965-990. 26p.

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Academic Journal

Evaluation of Probabilistic Snow Forecasts for Winter Weather Operations at Intermountain West Airports.

Authors : Uden, Dana M.^1,2 (AUTHOR) ; Wandishin, Matthew S.² (AUTHOR); Schlatter, Paul³ (AUTHOR)

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Aug2023, Vol. 38 Issue 8, p1341-1362. 22p.

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Academic Journal

Initial Condition Convection-Allowing Ensembles with Large Membership for Probabilistic Prediction of Convective Hazards.

Authors : Manser, Russell P.¹ (AUTHOR) ; Ancell, Brian C.¹ (AUTHOR)

Source: Monthly Weather Review. Mar2023, Vol. 151 Issue 3, p689-715. 27p. 5 Charts, 17 Graphs, 3 Maps.

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Academic Journal

Forecast Dropouts in the NAVGEM Model: Characterization with Respect to Other Models, Large-Scale Indices, and Ensemble Forecasts.

Authors : McLay, Justin G.¹ (AUTHOR) ; Satterfield, Elizabeth¹ (AUTHOR)

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Nov2022, Vol. 37 Issue 11, p2049-2067. 19p.

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Academic Journal

Exploring Hourly Updating Probabilistic Guidance in the 2021 Spring Forecasting Experiment with Objective and Subjective Verification.

Authors : Wade, Andrew R.¹ (AUTHOR) ; Jirak, Israel L.² (AUTHOR)

Source: Weather & Forecasting. May2022, Vol. 37 Issue 5, p699-708. 10p.

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نتائج البحث

فلترة النتائج

Forecasting U.S. Tornado Outbreak Activity and Associated Environments in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS).

Toward Unifying Short-Term and Next-Day Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Systems with a Continuously Cycling 3-km Ensemble Kalman Filter over the Entire Conterminous United States.

Comparing Partial and Continuously Cycling Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation Systems for Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Initialization.

Predictability of the Performance of an Ensemble Forecast System: Predictability of the Space of Uncertainties.

Evaluation and Process-Oriented Diagnosis of the GEFSv12 Reforecasts.

Subseasonal Forecast Skill of Evaporative Demand, Soil Moisture, and Flash Drought Onset from Two Dynamic Models over the Contiguous United States.

Evaluation of Probabilistic Snow Forecasts for Winter Weather Operations at Intermountain West Airports.

Initial Condition Convection-Allowing Ensembles with Large Membership for Probabilistic Prediction of Convective Hazards.

Forecast Dropouts in the NAVGEM Model: Characterization with Respect to Other Models, Large-Scale Indices, and Ensemble Forecasts.

Exploring Hourly Updating Probabilistic Guidance in the 2021 Spring Forecasting Experiment with Objective and Subjective Verification.

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