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Probabilistic Wave Forecast for Week 2 and beyond Based on NOAA's Global Ensemble Forecast System.

• Authors : Campos, Ricardo M.¹ (AUTHOR) ; Figurskey, Darin² (AUTHOR); Mehra, Avichal² (AUTHOR)

• Source: Weather & Forecasting. Aug2025, Vol. 40 Issue 8, p1511-1527. 17p.

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Uncertainty Analysis of the Extreme Rainstorm in Beijing on July 2023 Based on the Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast System of North China.

• Authors : Zhang, Hanbin¹ (AUTHOR); Wang, Jingzhuo² (AUTHOR) ; Liu, Yujue¹ (AUTHOR)

• Source: Journal of Hydrometeorology. Apr2025, Vol. 26 Issue 4, p415-429. 15p.

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Development of a Wave Model Component in the First Coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System at NOAA.

• Authors : Alves, Jose-Henrique¹ (AUTHOR) ; Padilla-Hernandez, Roberto² (AUTHOR); Spindler, Deanna³ (AUTHOR)

• Source: Weather & Forecasting. Dec2024, Vol. 39 Issue 12, p1761-1776. 16p.

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Improving the Forecasting of El Niño Amplitude Based on an Ensemble Forecast Strategy for Westerly Wind Bursts.

• Authors : Ji, Chaopeng^1,2,3 (AUTHOR); Mu, Mu^1,2,3 (AUTHOR); Fang, Xianghui^1,2,3 (AUTHOR)

• Source: Journal of Climate. Dec2023, Vol. 36 Issue 24, p8675-8694. 20p.

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Exploring Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observations for a Convective-Scale Data Assimilation System over the Dallas–Fort Worth Testbed.

• Authors : Gasperoni, Nicholas A.¹ (AUTHOR) ; Wang, Xuguang¹ (AUTHOR); Brewster, Keith A.² (AUTHOR)

• Source: Monthly Weather Review. Feb2024, Vol. 152 Issue 2, p571-588. 18p.

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The fractions skill score for ensemble forecast verification

• Authors : Ludwig Wolfgruber; Tobias Necker; Lukas Kugler

Subjects: 105206 Meteorology; neighbourhood methods; fractions skill score

• Source: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 150:4457-4477

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Information-Based Probabilistic Verification Scores for Two-Dimensional Ensemble Forecast Data: A Madden–Julian Oscillation Index Example.

• Authors : Takaya, Yuhei¹ (AUTHOR) ; Komatsu, Kensuke K.^1,2 (AUTHOR); Hino, Hideitsu³ (AUTHOR)

• Source: Monthly Weather Review. Sep2023, Vol. 151 Issue 9, p2245-2255. 11p. 7 Graphs.

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Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast System to Produce Calibrated Probabilistic Thunderstorm Guidance.

• Authors : Harrison, David R.^1,2 ; Elliott, Matthew S.²; Jirak, Israel L.²

• Source: Weather & Forecasting. Jul2022, Vol. 37 Issue 7, p1103-1115. 13p.

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The Development of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System Version 12.

• Authors : Zhou, Xiaqiong¹ (AUTHOR) ; Zhu, Yuejian² (AUTHOR); Hou, Dingchen² (AUTHOR)

• Source: Weather & Forecasting. Jun2022, Vol. 37 Issue 6, p1069-1084. 16p.

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The Reanalysis for the Global Ensemble Forecast System, Version 12.

• Authors : Hamill, Thomas M.¹ (AUTHOR) ; Whitaker, Jeffrey S.¹ (AUTHOR); Shlyaeva, Anna² (AUTHOR)

• Source: Monthly Weather Review. Jan2022, Vol. 150 Issue 1, p59-79. 21p. 1 Black and White Photograph, 1 Diagram, 2 Charts, 9 Graphs, 2 Maps.

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