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„Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement“ www.bundesbank.de Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link *

• Authors : Kajal Lahiri; Xuguang Sheng; The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives

Subjects: Key words; Unanticipated aggregate shocks; Forecast disagreement

• Source: http://www.bundesbank.de/download/vfz/konferenzen/20090323_24_berlin/paper_lahiri_sheng.pdf.

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The IMF/WEO Forecast Process

• Authors : Hans Genberg; Andrew Martinez; Michael Salemi ...

Subjects: Forecast evaluation; IMF; World Eco

• Source: http://www.ieo-imf.org/ieo/files/completedevaluations/BP 14 03 - The IMF WEO Forecast Process - Genberg Martinez Salemi.pdf.

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Management Earnings Forecasts and Value of Analyst Forecast Revisions

• Authors : Yongtae Kim; Minsup Song; The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives

Subjects: Key words; Analyst earnings forecast; Analyst forecast revision

• Source: http://www.efmaefm.org/0EFMAMEETINGS/EFMA ANNUAL MEETINGS/2013-Reading/papers/EFMA2013_0109_fullpaper.pdf.

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„Efficient Estimation of Forecast Uncertainty“ www.bundesbank.de Efficient Estimation of Forecast Uncertainty

• Authors : Deutsche Bundesbank; The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives

Subjects: multi-step-ahead forecasts; forecast error variance; GLS

• Source: http://www.bundesbank.de/download/vfz/konferenzen/20090323_24_berlin/paper_knueppel.pdf.

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Sales Forecast of Dual-Channel Supply Chain based on Improved Bass and SVM Model

• Authors : Qi Xu; Zheng Liu; The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives

Subjects: Dual-channel; Bass; SVM

• Source: http://www.naturalspublishing.com/files/published/u2gvi96r47k565.pdf.

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Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities

• Authors : Ida Wolden Bache; Anne Sofie Jore; James Mitchell ...

Subjects: Ensemble modeling; Forecast densities; Forecast evaluation

• Source: http://www.dynare.org/DynareConference2009/BJMV-5Nov.pdf.

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Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds

• Authors : Andrew J. Patton; Allan Timmermann; The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives

Subjects: Forecast optimality; real-time data; survey forecasts

• Source: http://rady.ucsd.edu/docs/faculty/timmerman/variance_tests_16Jan11_2.pdf.

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Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds

• Authors : Andrew J. Patton; Allan Timmermann; The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives

Subjects: Forecast optimality; real-time data; survey forecasts

• Source: http://rady.ucsd.edu/faculty/directory/timmermann/pub/docs/variance_tests_1dec10_3.pdf.

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New Tests of Forecast Optimality Across Multiple Horizons

• Authors : Andrew J. Patton; Allan Timmermann; The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives

Subjects: Forecast optimality; real-time data; variance bounds

• Source: http://www.ecb.int/events/conferences/shared/pdf/timmermann_new_tests_of_forecast_optimality.pdf?382cb93ec5bfaef1f619679a5a0cafb3.

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Exploring the Role that Forecast Surprise and Forecast Error Play in Determining Management Forecast Precision*

• Authors : Jong-hag Choi; Linda Myers; Yoonseok Zang ...

Subjects: Forecast precision; management forecasts; forecast surprise

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