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A SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF SELECTED PARAMETERS BASED ON 8 SMSA'S

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  • المصدر:
    DTIC AND NTIS
  • نوع التسجيلة:
    Electronic Resource
  • الدخول الالكتروني :
    https://apps.dtic.mil/docs/citations/AD0624702
  • معلومة اضافية
    • Publisher Information:
      1965-10-01
    • Added Details:
      RESEARCH TRIANGLE INST RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK NC OPERATIONS RESEARCH AND ECONOMICS DIV
      Sink, H. R.
    • نبذة مختصرة :
      In order to perform a sensitivity analysis of selected parameters of interest in Civil Defense systems analysis, probable casualties are estimated for 8 SMSA's over a range of fallout environments and shelter utilization patterns. The selected parameters are: SMSA population, population density, and ratio of shelter spaces to population; fallout arrival time and reference intensity; and restrictions on movement of people to shelter, leading to varying patterns of shelter utilization. The SMSA's are selected by 'judgment sampling' and range in population from 74,000 to 408,000. The fallout environments used range from a reference intensity of 600 r/hr and 7 hours time of arrival to a reference intensity of 30,000 r/hr and 1 hour time of arrival. The movement-to-shelter restrictions are: (1) movement restricted to the Standard Location (SL) of residence, (2) movement restricted to within two miles of the SL of residence, and (3) unrestricted movement to shelter anywhere within the SMSA. Also, (4) the transportation algorithm is used to determine the optimal (minimum casualty) allocation of people to shelter for each time of arrival and reference intensity combination. This allocation serves as a benchmark of ideality against which to measure other patterns of shelter utilization. Casualties are computed for each of the four movement patterns over the range of attack environments.
    • الموضوع:
      Economics and Cost Analysis; Operations Research; Civil Defense; CIVIL DEFENSE; OPERATIONS RESEARCH; FALLOUT SHELTERS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; NUCLEAR WARFARE; COST EFFECTIVENESS; COMPUTER PROGRAMMING; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; RADIATION DOSAGE; FEDERAL BUDGETS.; RADIOACTIVE; Text
    • Note:
      text/html
      English
    • Other Numbers:
      DTICE AD0624702
      834276185
    • Contributing Source:
      From OAIster®, provided by the OCLC Cooperative.
    • الرقم المعرف:
      edsoai.ocn834276185
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