Association of triglyceride-glucose index with the risk of incident aortic dissection and aneurysm: a large-scale prospective cohort study in UK Biobank

Abstract Background Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is an emerging surrogate indicator of insulin resistance, which has been demonstrated as a risk factor for various cardiovascular diseases including coronary syndrome, in-stent restenosis, and heart failure. However, association of TyG index with incident aortic dissection (AD) and aortic aneurysm (AA) remains to be investigated. Methods This study included 420,292 participants without baseline AD/AA from the large-scale prospective UK Biobank cohort. The primary outcome was incident AD/AA, comprising AD and AA. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were applied to assess the relationship between TyG index and the onset of AD/AA. In addition, the association between TyG index and incident AD/AA was examined within subgroups defined by age, gender, smoking status, drinking status, diabetes, hypertension, and BMI. Results Over a median follow-up period of 14.8 (14.1, 15.5) years, 3,481 AD/AA cases occurred. The incidence of AD/AA rose along with elevated TyG index. RCS curves showed a linear trend of TyG index with risk of incident AD/AA. TyG index was positively associated with risk of incident AD/AA after adjusting for age, gender, smoking status, drinking status, BMI, hypertension, LDL-c, and HbA1c, with adjusted HRs of 1.0 (reference), 1.20 (95% CI 1.08–1.35), 1.21 (95% CI 1.08–1.35), and 1.30 (95% CI 1.16–1.45) for TyG index quartiles 2, 3, and 4, respectively. Especially, participants in the highest TyG index quartile had highest risk of developing AA, with an adjusted HR of 1.35 (95% CI 1.20–1.52). Conclusions TyG index is independently associated with a higher risk of incident AD/AA, indicating the importance of using TyG index for risk assessment of AD/AA, especially for AA.