An Analysis of Macro Effects of Drunk Driving Penalty on Motor Vehicle Traffic Accidents in China

The effects of the law to punish drunk driving after coming into force in China can be seen in some media reports, while academic statistical analysis and evaluation are rare. In this study, the intervention analysis model of the law was constructed, by which the data of the number of motor vehicle accidents per 10,000 people in China, the number of injuries per 10,000 people and the number of deaths per 10,000 people were fitted, the macro effects of “drunk driving in punishment” on motor vehicle accidents in China were analyzed. The results showed that “drunk driving penalty” did not change the trend of motor vehicle accidents in China statistically.