Contributors: ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies (CoralCoE); James Cook University (JCU); Centre de recherches insulaires et observatoire de l'environnement (CRIOBE); Université de Perpignan Via Domitia (UPVD)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE); Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies and Centre for Marine Socioecology; University of Tasmania Hobart (UTAS); Instituto de Ciencia de Materiales de Aragón Saragoza, España (ICMA-CSIC); Universidad de Zaragoza = University of Zaragoza Saragossa University = Université de Saragosse; Centre for Fisheries Ecosystems Research (CFER); Memorial University of Newfoundland = Université Memorial de Terre-Neuve St. John's, Canada (MUN); School of Mathematics and Physics Brisbane; The University of Queensland (UQ All campuses : Brisbane, Dutton Park Gatton, Herston, St Lucia and other locations ); International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Laxenburg (IIASA); Dynamique et durabilité des écosystèmes : de la source à l’océan (DECOD); Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut Agro Rennes Angers; Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro); Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Los Angeles (AOS); University of California Los Angeles (UCLA); University of California (UC)-University of California (UC); School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology; School of Mathematical Sciences Brisbane; Queensland University of Technology Brisbane (QUT)-Queensland University of Technology Brisbane (QUT); NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS); NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC); Université de Dar es Salaam (UDSM); Center for Agricultural Water Research in China; China Agricultural University (CAU); MARine Biodiversity Exploitation and Conservation - Station Ifremer Palavas (UMR MARBEC PALAVAS); MARine Biodiversity Exploitation and Conservation - MARBEC (UMR MARBEC); Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Montpellier (UM); Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK); Center for Limnology; University of Wisconsin-Madison; Scripps Institution of Oceanography (SIO - UC San Diego); University of California San Diego (UC San Diego); Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Santa Cruz; University of California Santa Cruz (UC Santa Cruz); Dalhousie University Halifax; Pwani University (PU); Department of Fisheries, Animal and Veterinary Sciences, College of the Environment and Life Sciences, University of Rhode Island, Kingston
نبذة مختصرة : Climate change is expected to profoundly affect key food production sectors, including fisheries and agriculture. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these sectors are rarely considered jointly, and when they are, it is often at a national scale, which can mask substantial variability in how communities will be affected. Here, we combine socioeconomic surveys and intersectoral multi-model simulation outputs to conduct a sub-national analysis of the potential impacts of climate change on fisheries and agriculture in 72 coastal communities across five Indo-Pacific countries. Our study reveals three key findings: First, we find that the overall potential losses to fisheries is higher than potential losses to agriculture, but there is substantial within-country variability. Second, while more than two-thirds of locations will bear a double burden of potential losses to both fisheries and agriculture simultaneously, mitigation could reduce the proportion of places facing a double burden. Third, lower socioeconomic status communities are more likely to experience potential impacts than higher socioeconomic status communities.
Processing Request
No Comments.