Contributors: Basili, S.; Loffredo, L.; Pastori, D.; Proieti, M.; Farcomeni, A.; Vesti, A. R.; Pignatelli, P.; Davi, G.; Hiatt, W. R.; Lip, G. Y. H.; Corazza, G. R.; Perticone, F.; Violi, F.; Alessandri, C.; Serviddio, G.; Fascetti, S.; Palange, P.; Greco, E.; Bruno, G.; Averna, M.; Giammanco, A.; Sposito, P.; De Cristofaro, R.; De Gennaro, L.; Carulli, L.; Pellegrini, E.; Cominacini, L.; Mozzini, C.; Pasini, A. F.; Sprovieri, M.; Spagnuolo, V.; Cerqua, G.; Cerasola, G.; Mule, G.; Barbagallo, M.; Lo Sciuto, S.; Monteverde, A.; Saitta, A.; Lo Gullo, A.; Malatino, L.; Ciia, C.; Terranova, V.; Pisano, M.; Pinto, A.; Di Raimondo, D.; Tuttolomondo, A.; Conigliaro, R.; Signorelli, S.; De Palma, D.; Galderisi, M.; Cudemo, G.; Galletti, F.; Fazio, V.; De Luca, N.; Meccariello, A.; Caputo, D.; De Donato, M. T.; Iannuzi, A.; Bresciani, A.; Giunta, R.; Utili, R.; Iorio, V.; Adinolfi, L. E.; Sellitto, C.; Iuliano, N.; Bellis, P.; Tirelli, P.; Sacerdoti, D.; Vanni, D.; Iuliano, L.; Ciacciarelli, M.; Pacelli, A.; Palazzuoli, A.; Cacciafesta, M.; Gueli, N.; Lo Iacono, G.; Brusco, S.; Verrusio, W.; Nobili, L.; Tarquinio, N.; Pellegrini, F.; Vincentelli, G. M.; Ravallese, F.; Santini, C.; Letizia, C.; Petramala, L.; Zinnamosca, L.; Minisola, S.; Cilli, M.; Savoriti, C.; Colangelo, L.; Falaschi, P.; Martocchia, A.; Pastore, F.; Bertazzoni, G.; Attalla El Halabieh, E.; Paradiso, M.; Lizzi, E. M.; Timmi, S.; Battisti, P.
نبذة مختصرة : Background and aims: Vascular disease (VD), as assessed by history of myocardial infarction or peripheral artery disease or aortic plaque, increases stroke risk in atrial fibrillation (AF), and is a component of risk assessment using the CHA2DS2-VASc score. We investigated if systemic atherosclerosis as detected by ultrasound carotid plaque (CP) could improve the predictive value of the CHA2DS2-VASC score. Methods: We analysed data from the ARAPACIS study, an observational study including 2027 Ialian patents with non-valvular AF, in whom CP was detected using Doppler Ultrasonography. Results: VD was reported in 351 (17.3%) patients while CP was detected in 16.6% patents. Adding CP to the VD definition leaded to higher VD prevalence (30.9%). During a median [IQR] follow-up time of 36 months, 56 (2.8%) stroke/TIA events were recorded. Survival analysis showed that conventional VD alone did not increase the risk of stroke (Log-Rank: 0.009, p = 0.924), while addition of CP to conventional VD was significantly associated to an increased risk of stroke (LR: 5.730, p = 0.017). Cox regression analysis showed that VD + CP was independently associated with stroke (HR: 1.78, 95% CI: 1.05-3.01, p = 0.0318). Reclassification analysis showed that VD + CP allowed a significant risk reclassification when compared to VD alone in predicting stroke at 36 months (NRI: 0.192, 95% CI: 0.028-0.323, p = 0.032). Conclusions: In non-valvular AF patients the addition of ultrasound detection of carotid plaque to conventional VD significantly increases the pedictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score for stroke.
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