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Modeling quarantine during epidemics and mass-testing using drones

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  • معلومة اضافية
    • بيانات النشر:
      Linköpings universitet, Kommunikations- och transportsystem
      Linköpings universitet, Tekniska fakulteten
      Joint Institute for High Temperatures, Moscow, Russia
      Public Library of Science
    • الموضوع:
      2020
    • Collection:
      Linköping University Electronic Press (LiU E-Press)
    • نبذة مختصرة :
      We extend the classical SIR epidemic spread model by introducing the "quarantined" compartment. We solve (numerically) the differential equations that govern the extended model and quantify how quarantining "flattens the curve" for the proportion of infected population over time. Furthermore, we explore the potential of using drones to deliver tests, enabling mass-testing for the infection; we give a method to estimate the drone fleet needed to deliver the tests in a metropolitan area. Application of our models to COVID-19 spread in Sweden shows how the proposed methods could substantially decrease the peak number of infected people, almost without increasing the duration of the epidemic.
    • File Description:
      application/pdf
    • Relation:
      PLOS ONE, 2020, 15:6; http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-174228; PMID 32579590
    • الرقم المعرف:
      10.1371/journal.pone.0235307
    • Rights:
      info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
    • الرقم المعرف:
      edsbas.8C30B104