Prospective risk of osteoporotic fractures in patients with advanced chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Despite the high prevalence of osteoporosis in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients, the fracture risk prediction tools are not routinely undertaken in the management of COPD. We quantified fracture risk using a validated risk prediction tool (Fracture Risk Assessment (FRAX®)) and determined potential bone-protection treatment needs in patients with advanced COPD. The 10-year probability of major osteoporotic or hip fracture was calculated using the FRAX tool in a cohort of patients attending a hospital complex COPD service. Patients were identified to be at low, intermediate and high risk based on their FRAX scores, in accordance with the National Osteoporosis Guideline Group recommendations, to assess the number of patients requiring bone mineral density (BMD) testing or bone protection therapy. Two hundred forty-seven patients [mean (standard deviation (SD)) age 66 (9.1) years, 26% current smokers, 40% women and median (interquartile range (IQR)) Medical Research Council (MRC) breathlessness scale 4 (0)] had a 10-year probability of 9.5% (6.1) and 3.8% (4.6) for major osteoporotic and hip fractures, respectively. Thirty-six percentage of patients were identified to be at intermediate risk of developing fragility fracture, requiring BMD assessment, while 9% were at high risk, requiring treatment. Thirty-two percentage of high-risk patients were on bisphosphonates. The FRAX score can be used to assess the fracture risk within the COPD cohort and assist with decision-making about BMD measurement and provision of bone protection therapy.