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Escaping the perfect storm of simultaneous climate change impacts on agriculture and marine fisheries

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  • معلومة اضافية
    • Contributors:
      Centre de recherches insulaires et observatoire de l'environnement (CRIOBE); Université de Perpignan Via Domitia (UPVD)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE); Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); James Cook University (JCU); Department of Computer Science; Hong Kong Baptist University (HKBU); School of Computing; Queen’s University; MARine Biodiversity Exploitation and Conservation (UMR MARBEC); Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Fisheries economics research unit; University of British Columbia Canada (UBC); ANR-10-LABX-0008,CORAIL,Coral reefs facing global change(2010); ANR-14-CE03-0001,ACRoSS,Capacité d'adaptation, résilience et changement de régime des récifs coralliens au sein des systèmes côtiers socio-écologiques(2014)
    • بيانات النشر:
      CCSD
      American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • الموضوع:
      2019
    • Collection:
      Université de Montpellier: HAL
    • نبذة مختصرة :
      International audience ; Climate change can alter conditions that sustain food production and availability, with cascading consequences for food security and global economies. Here, we evaluate the vulnerability of societies to the simultaneous impacts of climate change on agriculture and marine fisheries at a global scale. Under a “business-as-usual” emission scenario, ~90% of the world’s population—most of whom live in the most sensitive and least developed countries—are projected to be exposed to losses of food production in both sectors, while less than 3% would live in regions experiencing simultaneous productivity gains by 2100. Under a strong mitigation scenario comparable to achieving the Paris Agreement, most countries—including the most vulnerable and many of the largest CO² producers—would experience concomitant net gains in agriculture and fisheries production. Reducing societies' vulnerability to future climate impacts requires prompt mitigation actions led by major CO 2 emitters coupled with strategic adaptation within and across sectors.
    • الرقم المعرف:
      10.1126/sciadv.aaw9976
    • الدخول الالكتروني :
      https://univ-perp.hal.science/hal-02432827
      https://univ-perp.hal.science/hal-02432827v2/document
      https://univ-perp.hal.science/hal-02432827v2/file/eaaw9976.full.pdf
      https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw9976
    • Rights:
      info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
    • الرقم المعرف:
      edsbas.35890528