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Functional estimation of extreme conditional expectiles

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  • معلومة اضافية
    • Contributors:
      Modèles statistiques bayésiens et des valeurs extrêmes pour données structurées et de grande dimension (STATIFY); Inria Grenoble - Rhône-Alpes; Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Laboratoire Jean Kuntzmann (LJK); Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA)-Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP ); Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA)-Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP ); Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA); Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Analyse de l'Information Bruz (ENSAI); Chaire Stress Test - BNP Paribas/Ecole polytechnique/Fondation de l'X.; ANR-15-IDEX-0002,UGA,IDEX UGA(2015); ANR-19-CE40-0013,ExtremReg,Régression extrême avec applications à l'économétrie, l'environnement et à la finance(2019)
    • بيانات النشر:
      HAL CCSD
      Elsevier
    • الموضوع:
      2022
    • Collection:
      GENES (Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique): HAL
    • نبذة مختصرة :
      International audience ; Quantiles and expectiles can be interpreted as solutions of convex minimization problems. Unlike quantiles, expectiles are determined by tail expectations rather than tail probabilities, and define a coherent risk measure. For these reasons, among others, they have recently been the subject of renewed attention in actuarial and financial risk management. Here, we focus on the challenging problem of estimating extreme expectiles, whose order converges to one as the sample size increases, given a functional covariate. We construct a functional kernel estimator of extreme conditional expectiles by writing expectiles as quantiles of a different distribution. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are studied in the context of conditional heavy-tailed distributions. We also provide and analyse different ways of estimating the functional tail index, as a way to extrapolate our estimates to the very far conditional tails. A numerical illustration of the finite-sample performance of our estimators is provided on simulated and real datasets.
    • Relation:
      hal-03117547; https://inria.hal.science/hal-03117547; https://inria.hal.science/hal-03117547v2/document; https://inria.hal.science/hal-03117547v2/file/main-hal.pdf
    • الرقم المعرف:
      10.1016/j.ecosta.2021.05.006
    • Rights:
      info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
    • الرقم المعرف:
      edsbas.291B2C1F