Contributors: University of Texas at Austin [Austin]; Institut Pasteur [Paris] (IP); Modélisation mathématique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases; Institut Pasteur [Paris] (IP)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Dalian Minzu University; Dalian University of Technology; The University of Hong Kong (HKU); Santa Fe Institute; We acknowledge the financial support from National Institutes of Health (grant no. U01 GM087719), the Investissement d’Avenir program, the Laboratoire d’Excellence Integrative Biology of Emerging Infectious Diseases program (grant no. ANR-10-LABX-62-IBEID), European Union V.E.O project, the Open Fund of Key Laboratory of Urban Land Resources Monitoring and Simulation, Ministry of Land and Resources (grant no. KF-2019-04-034), and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. 61773091).; ANR-10-LABX-0062,IBEID,Integrative Biology of Emerging Infectious Diseases(2010); Institut Pasteur [Paris]; Wang, Lin [0000-0002-5371-2138]; Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
نبذة مختصرة : International audience; On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
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