Pathways to Low Fertility: 50 Years of Limitation, Curtailment, and Postponement of Childbearing.

Publisher: Duke University Press Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 0226703 Publication Model: Print Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1533-7790 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00703370 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Demography Subsets: MEDLINE

Publication: 2021- : Durham, NC : Duke University Press
Original Publication: Washington, etc., Population Assn. of America.

Family Characteristics*; Birth Intervals/*statistics & numerical data ; Birth Rate/*trends ; Developing Countries/*statistics & numerical data; Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology ; Age Factors ; Female ; Humans ; Parity ; Socioeconomic Factors

This study applies survival analysis to the birth histories from 317 national surveys to model pathways to low fertility in 83 less-developed countries between 1965 and 2014. It presents period measures of parity progression, the length of birth intervals and total fertility that have been standardized fully for age, parity, and interval duration. It also examines parity-specific trends in the proportion of women who want no more children. Outside sub-Saharan Africa, fertility transition was dominated by parity-specific family size limitation. As the transition progressed, women also began to postpone their next birth for lengthy periods in many countries. During the first half of the fertility transition in much of sub-Saharan Africa and in some other countries, however, women stopped childbearing without targeting particular family sizes. Moreover, birth intervals in sub-Saharan Africa have been lengthening since the onset of the transition. Birth control is not restricted to a dichotomy between limitation and spacing. Other reasons for curtailing childbearing and postponing having another birth also shape countries' pathways through fertility transition.

Popul Stud (Camb). 2018 Mar;72(1):75-90. (PMID: 28994345)
Demography. 2019 Apr;56(2):573-594. (PMID: 30652298)
Demography. 2010 Feb;47(1):97-124. (PMID: 20355686)
J Biosoc Sci. 2020 Mar;52(2):286-299. (PMID: 31280739)
Popul Stud (Camb). 2017 Nov;71(3):329-344. (PMID: 28631528)
Popul Dev Rev. 2018 Mar;44(1):87-116. (PMID: 29695890)
Eugen Q. 1961 Jun;8:81-91. (PMID: 13713432)
Demography. 1976 Nov;13(4):479-93. (PMID: 992171)
Demography. 2013 Oct;50(5):1715-37. (PMID: 23619999)
Asian Pac Cens Forum. 1983 Aug;10(1):5-13. (PMID: 12265687)
Demography. 1985 May;22(2):169-83. (PMID: 3888688)
Demography. 2013 Aug;50(4):1387-95. (PMID: 23264037)
Demography. 1973 Nov;10(4):495-506. (PMID: 4804732)
Popul Dev Rev. 2013 Feb;38(Suppl 1):153-168. (PMID: 24812439)
Popul Dev Rev. 2000;26(2):295-317. (PMID: 19317037)
Demography. 1992 Nov;29(4):487-502. (PMID: 1483538)
Popul Stud (Camb). 1987 Mar;41(1):103-125. (PMID: 11612056)
Popul. 1994;6:59-130. (PMID: 12319629)
Demography. 1987 May;24(2):143-62. (PMID: 3301424)
Popul Stud (Camb). 2012 Nov;66(3):241-58. (PMID: 22891624)
J Biosoc Sci. 2013 May;45(3):311-30. (PMID: 23192103)

Keywords: Fertility transition ∙ Parity progression ∙ Birth intervals ∙ Birth control ∙ Postponement

Date Created: 20200124 Date Completed: 20201109 Latest Revision: 20201109

20231215

PMC7051933

10.1007/s13524-019-00848-5

31970647